Phyrex
Phyrex|6月 17, 2026 16:57
Written before the Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting At 2:00 am on Thursday, it will be the Federal Reserve's June interest rate meeting. Firstly, interest rates will not change, neither increasing nor decreasing, and will remain at 3.75%. Secondly, the dot matrix diagram will be released at 2 o'clock in the morning, which is very important this time. Prioritize the expectation of interest rate adjustment in 2026. If it is less than once, it is not friendly to market sentiment, as the March dot matrix still predicted a rate cut once in 2026. If it is equal to one occurrence, it indicates that it is consistent with the March forecast. The Federal Reserve believes that oil prices will decrease after the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, so it can follow its previous attitude, but this is similar to the political outcome of less than one occurrence mentioned above. Trump is one of the few diehard members of the Federal Reserve. But if it is more than once, it is good for the market. It shows two situations. One is that the officials of the Federal Reserve think that inflation will be controlled next, and the Federal Reserve can adopt an optimistic approach to easing, or the Trump faction has an advantage, but this possibility is not great. Next, let's look at the expectation of interest rate adjustment in 2027. In March, it was also predicted to cut interest rates once. If it can be greater than once, it indicates that the Federal Reserve is still optimistic about the decline in inflation. However, if it is once or less than once, the market may be more hesitant. Finally, it is Walsh's speech. I personally expect that Walsh will be more neutral today, because Trump needs to at least give a relaxed possibility. If Walsh and Powell maintain a neutral and hawkish attitude, it may be very harmful to Trump. In particular, Walsh's debut should give Trump a good answer. Of course, there is no need to "lick" Trump very much. It is normal to maintain neutrality and keep looking at the data. However, as long as some prepared and relaxed attitudes are properly disclosed under the neutral situation, it will be understood as a neutral pigeon. This time, many journalists will ask silly questions in answering journalists' questions. Let's listen first, I will still do the entire translation live broadcast. Bitget is here, VIP! Crypto、 US shares CFD, Global Advantage One Stop Layout
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