Bitcoin just touched the 50 month moving average for the 4th time ever. 2015 bottom zone. 2018 the bottom. 2022 the bottom. 2026 right now. The 20 week moving average sits at $71,000. Every prior bear market bottom was confirmed the same way: reclaim the 20 week, test the 50 week, bottom was in. If Bitcoin makes that move sooner rather than later, the "Q4 bottom" thesis doesn't have months left to be proven right. It has weeks. I respect the 4 year cycle analysis and consider the possibilities. But PMI just flipped to expansion, copper/gold is breaking out, and every prior time that combination showed up, a crypto bull market followed. Both theories about to be tested at the same time. We're about to find out which cycle Bitcoin actually answers to.(Dan Gambardello)