[The Probability of the Federal Reserve Keeping Rates Unchanged in June is 96.4%] According to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 96.4%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 3.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 88.5%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike probability of 8.2% and a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability of 3.2%.