小龙先生|May 29, 2026 11:21
When will the Bitcoin bear market bottom at $45K? How will it happen? Who’s most likely to be sacrificed? How should we respond?
Why is $45K the true bottom price for this bear market? — Here’s the core deduction based on the three-dimensional system:
- Macro Fibonacci 0.382 retracement level: $42,500-$45,000.
- Weekly head-and-shoulders 1.618 oversold target: $45,000-$50,000.
- On-chain valuation: MVRV needs to drop to 1.0-1.2 (corresponding to about 10-20% below $54,000),
30-35% below miners’ shutdown price (corresponding to $45,000-$50,000),
realized price is around $55,000, and bear market bottoms usually trade below this level.
Check out the in-depth analysis in the article below
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