Prediction website: SpaceX's valuation may exceed $2 trillion According to a report by Golden Finance on May 21st, bettors on the prediction website Polymarket predict that SpaceX's market value will almost certainly exceed $1 trillion when it goes public, with a 73% probability of exceeding $2 trillion. These bets are tied to the closing market value of SpaceX on its first day of listing. The company plans to go public in June, with an expected target valuation of over $1.5 trillion. In addition, data from Polymarket shows that the probability of its market value exceeding $3 trillion is 17%, and the probability of its market value exceeding $4 trillion is 2%. The prediction website launched a bet on SpaceX's market value about two weeks ago, but the current trading volume of related contracts is light, which may indicate that the outside world holds a reserved attitude towards the above probability. If SpaceX's market value really breaks through $2 trillion, its size will surpass at least two of the seven giants in the US stock market: Meta Platforms (META. O) and Tesla (TSLA. O), whose current market values are about $1.5 trillion and $1.6 trillion, respectively. (Golden Ten)