Bitcoin's potential price movement analysis: 1) Due to the potential positive impact of the US-Iran ceasefire agreement, BTC's price might rebound to the 0.618 level of the ascending channel, around 79,500. This would be the most optimistic final rebound high point. 2) The main bearish forces have not entered the market on a large scale, and the bearish momentum lacks sustainability. Today's performance was very weak, likely related to the potential positive impact of the US-Iran ceasefire agreement. 3) A rebound is not a reversal. A rebound to around 79,500 is a great opportunity and entry point for short positions.