[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 99%] Jin10 Data reported on May 20: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 99%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 84.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 0.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 14.8%.