Aaron Dishner
Aaron Dishner|5月 18, 2026 02:07
BTC fell into the TBO cloud over the weekend, confirming bearish consolidation after Friday's second TBT bearish divergence. The next real support area is around $75K, with the bottom of the cloud near $75,644. Losing the $79K pivot low matters because it breaks the sequence of higher pivot lows that held the move together since March. A short-term bounce is possible after multiple red days, but the bigger read is still lower highs, weaker RSI, and OBV crossing below its moving average. ETH still looks worse than BTC. It failed to reclaim TBO resistance, dropped back into strong bearish mode, lost another support fan level, and ETH dominance continues to break down. ETHBTC also remains weak after the TBO breakdown and prior TBT bearish divergence cluster. Stablecoin dominance is the chart that matters most right now: it closed above the key reversal line, and a weekly RSI support pierce is the same kind of warning signal we saw near major tops and mid-cycle dumps. Across the broader market, TOTALES lost support after confirming another TBT bearish divergence, while TOTALE100 and OTHERS show OBV rolling over. That means alt strength is selective and fragile, even if a few dips get bought. DXY is pushing toward the 99.516 gap target, USDJPY is back in a worry zone near 160, S&P futures printed a take-profit signal on the 4H, and VIX is inside the cloud. Gold, silver, copper, platinum, uranium, and BTC against gold all point to a market where protecting capital matters more than forcing longs. The watchlist is mixed, but most charts need caution. DEXE and VVV still have constructive bounce setups, while DOGE, BCH, TAO, DOT, SKY, ATOM, ARB, VET, ZRO, PENGU, DCR, INJ, QNT, ALGO, MORPHO, JUP, ZBCN, BNB, HYPE, ZEC, NEAR, RENDER, MON, and several requested charts are showing breakdowns, resistance tests, or better short entries on bounces. Getting stopped out is fine. Getting liquidated is not. Stay disciplined, reduce risk, and stay awesome and stay in the green. 00:00 BTC falls into the TBO cloud 07:46 ETH weakness and bear flag risk 13:00 CME gaps and ETHBTC breakdown 15:32 Stablecoin dominance reversal signal 18:09 BTC dominance, TOTALES, and alt breadth 22:05 DXY, USDJPY, S&P futures, and VIX 27:09 Gold, silver, copper, platinum, and uranium 29:42 BTC vs gold and risk management 32:14 My chart watchlist 43:48 Requested charts and final thoughts(Aaron Dishner)
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