[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 99.2%] According to Golden Finance on May 16, based on CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 99.2%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 0.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 95%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 0.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 4.2%.