I don't look down on the cryptocurrency industry, I just look down on myself who can't make money in the cryptocurrency industry. Short term market trend (several days to two weeks): 1. There is still a possibility for Da Bing to break out of the black line (citation) of 5, but reaching the target level at this position is 5%, and the stop loss level below is 3%, with no significant profit or loss ratio; The position of 284500 is the lower edge of the daily K entity in the previous horizontal range (Figure 1). The momentum of the rebound starting from 60000 is not strong, ① it is oversold ② it is pulled by the US stock market, and there is no independent market trend. Therefore, from the perspective of rebound, the possibility of a one-time breakthrough is unlikely (of course, the market is always right); 3. ETH/SOL/XRP, these high market value knockoffs, are walking like dogs. I don't want to say anything at all. If they want to charge, it's not like this. Currently, I haven't seen any driving force that can make them charge upwards. Mid level market trend (several weeks -2-3 months): 1. Look at the top post citation for Route 1 and Route 2 (i.e. large range oscillation), and consider Route 1 to have a high probability; From a technical analysis perspective, Da Bing needs to flatten the daily moving average, interweave it, and solidify the bottom; I don't look at the sharp decline because at this position (in the range of 60000-80000), I do see a relatively strong ability to take over; 3. Several directions need attention: ① Is the hardware correction in the US stock market driven by the continued rotation of other stocks or can it drive the overall US stock market correction; ② The World Cup attracts liquidity; ③ The Iraq War, with high oil prices, is like a gray rhino. Suggestion: If the market develops in the direction I said, I need to be careful not to wear down my capital and mentality in the volatile market. October is a beautiful season, will it be the same this time?