[Probability of the Federal Reserve Keeping Rates Unchanged in June at 96.8%] According to Golden Finance on May 15, based on CME's 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 96.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 3.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 93.8%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability of 3.1% and a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike probability of 3.1%.