小龙先生
小龙先生|5月 14, 2026 12:46
Bitcoin Market Evening Quick Look: 6 Key Signals on the Market, Storm is hovering over the Coin Circle! (1) ETF saw its largest single day outflow since February ($630 million), and Glassnode explicitly stated that "institutions are taking advantage of the rebound to exit". (2) Giant Whale sold 7650 BTC (approximately $616 million) in a single day, concentrated within 5 hours of the price dropping from 81200 to 78800. (3) The pressure of CPI exceeding expectations has not dissipated yet, and PPI's year-on-year growth rate of 6.0% far exceeded expectations. Macro suppression has shifted from "neutral" to "clearly bearish", and the probability of interest rate hikes has risen to 30-39%. The probability of interest rate cuts this year is almost zero. (4) The trading volume continues to shrink, and the deviation between volume and price is significant. The price has fallen from 81500 to 79300, which is not a "momentum breakthrough", but a "weak upward momentum" and a sign of the exhaustion of long positions. (5) The Clarity Act's review today is the biggest short-term variable, but even if passed, the pulse height may still be macroscopically suppressed below 81500. (6) 82300-82800 is a strong resistance zone; 82860 is likely to be the endpoint price of the fourth wave rebound (probability 75-80%). The macro bearish sentiment has been realized, institutional funds are leaving, and the inflationary pressure caused by high oil prices should not be underestimated. Now we are just waiting for the final confirmation on the technical aspect. The storm of the fifth wave of downward trend market is hovering and brewing in the cryptocurrency circle. These days, my personal prediction that May 12-16 will be a major turning point in Bitcoin's trend direction remains unchanged. Radical friends, you can lay out mid line short positions in Bitcoin during high scoring batches! Steady friends, you can patiently wait for the mature time to pull the trigger and strike!
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