*Walter Bloomberg|May 11, 2026 13:42
MARKETS SEE LOWER RECESSION RISK AS GOLDMAN TURNS MORE BULLISH
Recession fears are fading fast.
Prediction markets now put the odds of a U.S. recession this year at just 19%, while Goldman Sachs has cut its recession probability forecast to 25% and pushed back expected Fed rate cuts.
At the same time, the S&P 500 keeps hitting record highs as strong earnings, AI spending, and resilient economic data fuel investor optimism.
Wall Street is increasingly betting the economy slows — but avoids a recession.
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecssnber/recession/kxrecssnber-26?utm_source=walterbloomberg(*Walter Bloomberg)
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