You'll know the escalation is major if they target data centers. OpenAI and Amazon's AWS both have major data centers in the Gulf, and represent a huge part of the recent US economy rally. Since the market is the only thing Trump listens to, Iran had previously posted a targeting map threatening data centers. Oil is complex, but the compute demand and spend commitments driving the Mag7 rally is not. That's probably the only Achilles heel where Trump may actually back down, instead of escalate in retaliation(Adam Cochran (adamscochran.eth))