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金十数据
金十数据|May 03, 2026 22:12
[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 92.8%] Jin10 Data reported on May 4: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in June is 92.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 7.2%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in July is 88.8%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability of 10.9% and a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut probability of 0.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in September is 83.0%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability of 16.0% and a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut probability of 1.0%.
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Timeline

May 05, 12:57U.S. energy exports hit record highs, oil prices surge due to Middle East conflict
May 05, 12:27The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield hovers around 5%.
May 05, 08:16The Federal Reserve injects $7.585 billion to stimulate the economy
May 05, 03:10The Federal Reserve's forward guidance points to rate cuts, gold rises.
May 05, 02:53Fed forward guidance points to rate cuts, gold rises
May 04, 20:50Market sentiment is stable, and there is little fluctuation in US stocks and BTC.
May 04, 14:23Dudley supports Powell's reappointment as Federal Reserve governor
May 03, 10:36The Federal Reserve's internal stance has shifted, and the policy path is turning toward an assessment of interest rate hikes.
May 02, 18:16GDP growth was unexpectedly strong
May 01, 08:36The Federal Reserve injected $82.61 billion into the market.

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