[Polymarket: Probability of 'CLARITY Act Taking Effect in 2026' Rises to 67%, Up 21% in 24 Hours] Odaily Seer monitoring indicates that the probability of the Polymarket event 'CLARITY Act Taking Effect in 2026' has risen to 67%, up 21% in the past 24 hours. The event contract rules specify: If the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, the outcome will be 'Yes'; otherwise, it will be 'No.' The primary source of information is the Congress.gov website (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official U.S. government information, though other reliable reports may also be referenced. Coinbase has stated that a key disagreement over stablecoin yield provisions has been resolved through a compromise with traditional banks, clearing the way for the U.S. Senate to advance the crypto market structure bill. Previously, banks had lobbied to restrict or prohibit exchanges from offering yields to stablecoin holders, primarily due to concerns about funds flowing out of the banking deposit system. Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad noted that the final proposal introduces some additional restrictions while still preserving the ability for users to earn rewards through crypto platforms and networks based on real-world use cases. This progress is expected to facilitate the CLARITY Act's movement into the voting process within the Senate Banking Committee. Odaily Seer will continue to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing occurs.