小龙先生|May 01, 2026 12:33
❤️ Must-read! Key insights and conclusions on BTC market trends! Here are 4 core takeaways from today’s BTC market morning update:
(1) Target prices and probabilities for BTC’s next rebound:
77500, about 1000-1500 points away from the current price, probability 55-60%;
78500, about 2000-2500 points away, probability 35-40%;
79500, about 3000-3500 points away, probability 15-20%.
(2) BTC’s “main short-sellers haven’t entered the market on a large scale yet”! The best time to short BTC hasn’t arrived! The ideal range for mid-term short positions is still 78500-81500, but the probability of prices rebounding to the 79500-81500 range is very low!
(3) The 77500-78500 range is the first battleground for bulls and bears. Based on the above analysis and probability distribution logic, I believe shorting BTC in batches and at intervals within the 77500-79500 range to set up mid-term short positions is relatively prudent and safe!
(4) If the price directly breaks below 75000, the 5th wave might start early, and that’s when you should chase shorts on the right side!
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