陈桂林
陈桂林|Apr 30, 2026 09:43
Regarding Bitcoin BTC, a viewpoint I have been saying for the past few days is: "If you see him unhappy, you can choose not to do it, but it's not time to short it yet." Today, I will break down the logic of base analysis for you: In terms of indicators: Many people are looking at the daily MACD dead cross and bearish on it, which is definitely correct. However, it should be noted that this is a dead cross above the 0 axis, and the probability of a callback and relay above the 0 axis is greater than that of a turn. This is the first point; Some people have said that at the end of January 2026, it will also be a daily MACD with a dead cross above the 0 axis, so it will be directly killed by A, right? I can only say: 1. Looking at the price, the price at that time is different from the price at this time. The same technical indicators and K-line shape often have different performances when the absolute price is different; 2. Looking at the support, during the MACD dead cross, the K-line directly entered the lower box, but this time, after 3 days of MACD dead cross, the K-line still remains above the box and has not entered; (Figure 1) The upper edge of the entire box below is not a single line, but a defensive line constructed by the bulls at the position of 73000-75000. This range underwent a test of breakthrough and retracement from April 17th to April 20th. That's why I say that if the pie doesn't fall below 75000, it can only be seen as oscillating and cannot be left empty; Here, you can choose to use a sideways trend instead of a downward trend, just above 75000, or within the range of 73000-75000 to digest the indicators, and then pull them up again to continue hitting high points. And in this process, I believe the opportunity in the cryptocurrency circle lies in the dead cat continuing to jump, just like yesterday's dogecoin: native; Do you think 10% is not satisfying enough? Are you thinking about farting? Can you catch the demon coins? Do you dare to place a position? This market is like shit, and the opportunity to increase positions with certainty is already available.
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