星球日报
星球日报|4月 30, 2026 01:12
[Polymarket 'Powell to Step Down as Federal Reserve Governor Before May 30' Probability Drops to 9%, Down 25% in 24 Hours] Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's 'Powell to Step Down as Federal Reserve Governor Before May 30' has plummeted, now down to 9%, a 25% drop in 24 hours. Meanwhile, the probability of 'Powell to Step Down as Federal Reserve Governor Before December 31' has fallen to 66%, down 11% in 24 hours. The contract rules for this event are as follows: If Federal Reserve Chair Powell ceases to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors at any time before the target date (11:59 PM Eastern Time), the outcome will be determined as 'Yes'; otherwise, it will be determined as 'No.' If Powell steps down as Federal Reserve Chair but remains a member of the Board of Governors, it does not meet the criteria for a 'Yes' determination. The determination will be based on information released by the U.S. government, but consensus from credible reports may also serve as a basis. This morning, Powell stated at a press conference that he would continue to serve as a Federal Reserve Governor 'for a period of time' after stepping down as Chair and promised to 'remain low-profile.' U.S. Treasury Secretary Besant responded, saying, 'If Powell remains on the Federal Reserve Board, it would be extraordinary. For someone who has always emphasized norms, his unilateral decision runs counter to tradition.' Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.
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