Natural Trading Evening Market Insights

BTC Market Interpretation and Prediction on April 29, 2026 The core conclusion of today's market trend In the short term, the price rebounded again after falling to 76000, and it is expected to test the resistance level of 79500 again in the future. The market is waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision. In terms of the midline: The fourth wave of rebound has not yet ended, but it has entered its end. The price is fluctuating within the range of 76000-79500, accumulating momentum for significant changes. Next, let's take a look at the current core state of the short-term market 1) The daily chart shows a slight deviation between volume and price, with sluggish trading volume; The long positions at the four hour level have declined and exhausted, while the short positions are average. The main force of short positions has not yet entered the market; The price has been blocked three times at 79500; Refer to Figure 1 and Figure 2. 2) ETF institutions had a net outflow of $89.68M yesterday, with evenly matched entrusted buying and selling amounts on the order book; But the selling pressure wall at the price of 81000 is waiting there. Refer to Figure 3 and Figure 4; 3) From 2:00 am to 2:30 am Beijing time on April 30th, if the Federal Reserve sends a dovish signal, prices may once again test upwards at 79000-79500, but it will be difficult to break through 80000; If a hawkish signal is released, the price may drop to 76000-76500 and fluctuate narrowly again, accumulating momentum; If neutral is maintained, prices will continue to be adjusted within the range of 76000-78500; 4) Support and resistance: Above 79000-79500 is a short-term strong resistance, and 80000-81000 is the core selling pressure wall; 76000 below is the first support, and 75700 is the core buying wall. The status of the midline: 1) The fourth wave of rebound has not yet ended, but it has come to an end, and the bulls are at the end of their strength; 2) The subsequent estimated price will fluctuate repeatedly within the range of 76000-79500 to accumulate momentum, preparing for important changes and change time windows; Refer to the price deduction chart in Figure 1; 3) The medium-term direction is bearish, and the fifth wave of decline will only be delayed and not absent. The UAE's withdrawal from OPEC is a signal of mid-term pressure on oil prices, but it will take time to transmit expectations of inflation and interest rate cuts. The turnaround window is from May 12-16, when macroeconomic events such as non farm payroll and CPI will provide a catalyst for directional choices. For the specific time window for the midline reversal, the target price for the rebound, and the trading strategy, please refer to the article cited below: "Must Read! When will the 4th wave of Bitcoin's Dead Cat rebound end? When will it enter the market to hunt down multiple armies? In depth analysis of the next major reversal time window Hey guys, what do you think? ① What will be the price trend of BTC tomorrow? ② What is your position logic and plan? Welcome to reply and discuss, I will select high-quality replies to review together!