星球日报|4月 25, 2026 23:31
[Probability of 'U.S.-Iran Diplomatic Meeting Before April 29' on Polymarket Drops to 16%, Down 39% in 24 Hours]
Odaily Seer monitoring shows that Polymarket data indicates the probability of 'U.S.-Iran Diplomatic Meeting Before April 29' has dropped to 16%, with a sharp 39% decline in a short period. According to market rules, if representatives from the U.S. and Iran hold a formal diplomatic meeting before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on April 29, the market will be judged as 'Yes.' A diplomatic meeting is defined as an official meeting attended by authorized representatives of both parties, including indirect face-to-face meetings facilitated by a mediator, but excluding brief greetings or encounters for non-diplomatic purposes. The meeting must be conducted face-to-face and recognized by the government or reported by credible media. Odaily Seer will continue to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.
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