Probability of 'U.S.-Iran Diplomatic Meeting Before April 30' on Polymarket Currently at 52%, Up 6% in Short Term

星球日报
星球日报|4月 25, 2026 14:39
Odaily Seer monitoring channel shows that Polymarket data indicates the probability of 'U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting before April 30' is currently at 52%, with a short-term increase of 6%. According to New Delhi Television, sources report that the second round of negotiations between Iran and the U.S. is scheduled for April 27. As per market rules, if representatives from the U.S. and Iran hold a formal diplomatic meeting before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on April 30, the market will be determined as 'Yes.' A diplomatic meeting is defined as an official meeting attended by representatives of both sides in an authorized capacity, including indirect face-to-face meetings facilitated by a mediator, but excluding brief greetings or encounters for non-diplomatic purposes. The meeting must be conducted face-to-face and recognized by the government or credible media reports. Odaily Seer monitoring channel continues to track prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.
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