上海米哥(蓝V回关)|4月 25, 2026 11:36
Contract Trading Strategies
Short-Term Strategies
Long Strategy:
Entry Point: 75300-75500 (rebound near the support level).
Take-Profit Targets: 77600 → 78000 → 80000.
Stop-Loss Setting: 73000 (to avoid deep declines if support is lost).
Short Strategy:
Entry Point: 79500-80500 (near the upper resistance zone), observe candlestick patterns and volume dynamics.
Take-Profit Targets: 77000 → 75000.
Stop-Loss Setting: 81250 (to avoid being stopped out after a breakout).
Mid-Term Strategy
Wait for the price to rebound to the 80000-81000 range. Once a clear false breakout signal appears (e.g., long upper shadow, gradually decreasing volume), you can set up mid-term short positions.
Target Range: 70000-71000 (first target); 66000 (final target).
Notes
Futures Fund Management: It’s recommended to control position size to 10%-20% of total assets to avoid amplified risks due to leverage.
Keep a close eye on U.S.-Iran negotiation news, as this could have a sudden and significant impact on the market. If talks break down and geopolitical tensions escalate, it may increase demand for safe-haven assets, driving a BTC rebound.
Potential Risks & Reminders
Technical Adjustments: If the market fails to effectively break through the 80000 level, it may face bearish pressure, with prices potentially retesting the 74000 zone.
ETF Flow Changes: Although institutions are currently maintaining a net inflow trend, the scale is gradually shrinking; keep a close watch on changes that could trigger price volatility.
Speculative Sentiment Intensifies: Large transaction data highlights that current market trading is predominantly sell-side, which may increase short-term downward pressure on prices.
Invest cautiously and operate rationally by considering various indicators.
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