[Probability of 'Waller Confirmed as Fed Chair Before May 15' on Polymarket Rises to 85%, Up 211% in a Short Time] Odaily Seer monitoring shows that the probability of 'Waller Confirmed as Fed Chair Before May 15' on Polymarket has risen from 27% to 85%, a short-term increase of 211%. The reason is that the U.S. Department of Justice is expected to drop its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Powell. Previously, Senator Banking Committee member Thom Tillis stated that if Trump does not withdraw the criminal investigation into current Fed Chair Powell, he would block Waller's nomination for Fed Chair from proceeding to a full Senate vote. With the current news that the Department of Justice will drop the criminal investigation into Powell, the market expects a high probability that Waller will be confirmed by the Senate as Fed Chair before Powell's term ends (May 15). Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.