金十数据|4月 17, 2026 13:32
[Fed Rate Cut Expectations Rise, June Rate Cut Probability Increases to 7.1%] Jin10 Data, April 17 – According to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0.5%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.5% (unchanged from this morning). The probability of the Fed cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by June is 7.1%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 92.4%, and the probability of cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points is 0.5% (this morning: 1.4%, 98%, and 0.5%, respectively). The probability of the Fed cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by July is 18.1%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 80.6%, and the probability of cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points is 0.4% (this morning: 9.7%, 89.7%, and 0.5%, respectively).
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