April 17th Oh my god, something big happened. I never expected it, it's unbelievable. I heard from Michael on Wall Street for ten years Bitcoin breaks through its recent high of 76000, is it rebounding or reversing, falling or rising? Actually, we need to analyze this issue from the following five dimensions 1. Global macro liquidity (determining whether the main direction is upward or downward) The most direct issue is the question of interest rate cuts and hikes. Currently, 99% of people will not cut interest rates in April, and there is more room for improvement in June, Only when the news of interest rate cuts is confirmed can it be a reversal of going long, otherwise everything else will be a rebound phase with high positions and short positions at high positions! 2. Macro regulatory policy (determining whether and how to play) Unified EU licensing and strong regulation of stablecoins; Stablecoins in the United States, classified to promote SEC release of spot ETFs; Dongda has implemented a comprehensive ban, Stablecoins have been included in illegal finance, and trading and mining have been severely cracked down on, resulting in weak fund flow. 3. Financial situation and institutional trends (the most direct way for money to enter and exit) Large scale capital inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs, including listed companies such as MicroStrategy, sovereign funds, and insurance allocations. Trend: Institutionalization, asset allocation, and declining volatility. Conclusion: From speculation to allocation, bull and bear cycles are lengthening and bottoming out 4. Market sentiment and cycle position (determining the top and bottom positions of a certain cycle interval) The current panic index is 21, and there are too many uncertainties in the future. Retail investors are still panicking, and currently it is a bearish trend that lasts for 4 hours, forming a dead triangle. 5. External risks, geopolitical conflicts, and black swans (determining whether there will be a sharp decline) This Sunday, Iran and the United States reached a second ceasefire agreement in Pakistan. If there is a ceasefire, there will be a retaliatory backlash We will continue to experience a pullback, and all the good news will be negative. If we cannot reach an agreement, there will be a cliff like drop, so we are short selling for profit The probability of far more space! 6. Trump and the United States: Iran's end will lead to strikes against Cuba, and negative expectations of tariffs on China in the future! 7. Bitcoin reached its highest point of around 76400 today. Actually, I asked everyone to place orders at 75950 yesterday, with a stop loss of $500, 76450 US dollars, this afternoon I had at least 1000 points of meat with my fan friends! 8. So today, everyone is still placing a short order around 76300, with a stop loss level of 76800 and a position of 10% leverage at 3 times, strictly managing it Stop loss and take profit, fill the position at around 79000 with a false breakthrough of 20% of the position, and add a small margin around 71000 as a supplement, 500 with stop loss. 9. Ethereum, relatively speaking, will also follow the trend of Bitcoin. Around 2410 is a pressure level, and the second pressure level is around 2550, The playing style is the same. Short selling at high prices has a higher winning rate than long selling at low prices 10. As long as the Middle East war between Iran and the United States does not end, and the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates, all rebound rectangular oscillations are the best time for you to short and rise Ten thousand reasons are needed, only one reason is needed for a decline! Trading rules: No orders will be opened until the point is reached, no orders will be opened without stop loss and take profit, and carrying orders is a PIG that is being slaughtered! Take only one scoop from a weak water of three thousand, you can never go short at the highest level, go long at the lowest level, but you can determine the safe range position again, To achieve sustained and stable profitability, this is the original intention and strength of Mi Ge to lead everyone through the bull bear journey! It is now clear that: The flow of money is not competitive, only striving for continuous flow. You come to the cryptocurrency circle to make money, not to lose money or serve as a companion fuel. It is a trading market It's not about catching a good card, but how long you can survive in this game market! Pay attention to Wall Street's 10-year Mi Ge, enter the Mi Ge spot contract lead group, follow Mi Ge to copy operations, and earn rice steadily and rhythmically!