律动BlockBeats|Apr 15, 2026 14:44
The United States and Iran are gradually reaching a framework agreement to end the war, and it is highly likely that a permanent peace agreement will be reached before the end of May
BlockBeats news, on April 15th, according to AXIOS, two US officials stated that US Iran negotiators made progress in their talks on Tuesday local time, and both sides are moving towards reaching a framework agreement to end the war. A US official stated that the Trump negotiating team (Vice President Vance, Middle East envoy Witkov, and Trump senior advisor Kushner) continues to have phone calls and exchange drafts with Iran and mediators, and is "getting close to the target". The third official said, 'We want to reach an agreement, and some people in Iran also want it. The key is to get the entire Iranian government to agree.' Sources said that if a framework agreement is reached, the ceasefire will need to be extended to negotiate details. The details are complicated and cannot be completed within two days, "said an official. Another official stated that the United States has not officially agreed to extend the ceasefire and both sides are still in continuous contact.
According to PolyBeats monitoring, the probability of reaching a permanent peace agreement between the US and Iran before April 22 is 27%, before April 30 is 42%, and before May 31 is 60% in the predicted market Polymarket.
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