The Israeli Security Cabinet will hold a meeting tonight to discuss a possible ceasefire in Lebanon On April 15th, according to Reuters, senior Israeli officials announced that the Israeli Security Cabinet will hold a meeting at 8 pm local time (1:00 am Beijing time tonight) to discuss a possible ceasefire in Lebanon. Three hours ago, BlockBeats' prediction market channel PolyBeats successfully predicted this event. On the prediction market Polymarket, a new account invested $9000 to buy "yes" on "Can Israel and Hezbollah cease fire today?" The current probability of "yes" is 5.0%. The on chain funds for this account come from bor. eth, and the on chain address funds come from the Polymarket account 0xa4eb5222. The account made a total of 7 transactions and profited $405000 by predicting the timing of the US Iran conflict and ceasefire. It was then renamed and withdrawn to bor. eth.