[Analyst Says BTC Recovery is Fragile, Middle East Situation May Impact 2026 Market] Coin Bureau founder Nic Puckrin stated that Bitcoin's current recovery trend is relatively fragile. Geopolitical and macroeconomic pressures triggered by the Middle East conflict will dominate the market trajectory in the second quarter of 2026, with interest rate cuts expected no earlier than the third or fourth quarter. He noted that for BTC to reach $90,000, three conditions must be met: easing geopolitical tensions, oil prices falling back to around $80, and weakening economic data. Currently, BTC is priced at approximately $71,276, facing resistance at $74,000 and still operating below the 200-day exponential moving average.