[Wintermute Head of Policy: Clarity Act Has Only a 30% Chance of Passing] Wintermute Head of Policy Ron Hammond stated that the probability of the U.S. crypto market structure bill, the 'Clarity Act,' passing this year is approximately 30%. The bill aims to clarify the division of responsibilities between the SEC and CFTC in digital asset regulation. However, the legislative process remains uncertain due to resistance from traditional banking institutions, divisions within the Democratic Party, and issues related to DeFi compliance.