Phyrex|4月 10, 2026 18:36
The focus today is on two things. One is the CPI data that has already occurred. Although it is quite high, its impact on the market is not significant. After all, it is a collateral damage caused by high oil prices during the war. Fortunately, the United States and Iran have temporarily ceased fire, and the market's expectations for the ceasefire are still high. Therefore, the impact of this CPI is not significant, and the market has fully anticipated that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in the first half of the year.
The other is the negotiation between the United States and Iran. Today, the representatives of both sides have arrived in Pakistan, and the representative of the United States is Vance. Although the Prime Minister of Pakistan has given strong expectations for this negotiation, the market generally believes that the possibility of a one-time negotiation is very low. Especially when Israel is still attacking Lebanon, even Trump himself believes that the probability of reopening the Strait of Hormuz in a short period of time is low.
Today is the last day of this week. Every time, I am worried that the Sichuan Pubic Education Association will do something at the weekend. I hope nothing will happen this week. Let's spend a quiet weekend. I also hope that at least Iran and the United States can reach the conditions to continue negotiations this weekend. Recently, they have been passively sponsoring the war, and my wallet is a little overwhelmed.
Looking back at the data of Bitcoin, the data is still very normal, which has been emphasized multiple times. BTC below $70000 still has a strong buying awareness, and even if it continues to decline in the future, the situation where low prices cause long-term investors to sell is becoming less and less common. However, personally, I do not believe that it is currently a reversal of BTC. Before there is any new movement in monetary policy, it may still be in a rebound trend.
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