Here’s my analysis of the BTC price and tonight’s 8:30 PM CPI data: CPI scenario simulation: Scenario Probability Price reaction Rebound high point CPI exceeds expectations 60% Drops first, then rebounds, or directly falls 72,500-73,000 CPI meets expectations 30% Spikes up then pulls back 73,000-73,500 CPI below expectations 10% Pulses up then pulls back 73,500-74,500 Core conclusion remains unchanged: 74,500 is the absolute top. 72,500-73,000 has become a strong resistance zone. Regardless of the CPI result, a pulse spike followed by a pullback is highly likely.