BTC Market Analysis 2026.4.9 Recent price movements are closely tied to Trump—just a single comment from him can impact Bitcoin's ups and downs. Trading short-term in this kind of 'mouthpiece-driven' market is like snatching food from a tiger's mouth. You might make a profit, but you could also take a big loss. The probability of short-term price swings is just 50%, basically like gambling. I only go for high-certainty trades. Right now, we're in a bear market cycle, and the downward trend is 99.99%. So the optimal strategy is to short at highs + scoop up positions at the cycle's bottom. That's the proper EV-positive approach. I've shared the market analysis and trading setup in the community.