Analysis: A Polymarket account cluster profited approximately $600000 in predicting the US Iran ceasefire event Foresight News reported that according to BubbleMaps monitoring, the same group of Polymarket accounts profited about $600000 last night while predicting a ceasefire between the United States and Iran, and subsequently changed their account names. In addition, these accounts have been continuously betting on the ceasefire recently, and have placed bets of $25000 (probability 6%) and $75000 (probability 15%) on the forecasts for April 7th and April 15th, respectively, earning a total profit of approximately $563000. \A month ago, BubbleMaps connected four Polymarket on chain accounts with high success rates, predicting a US attack on Iran on February 28, 2026; On June 13, 2025, Israel launched the "Rising Lion" operation in Iran; On June 21, 2025, the United States attacked Iran's nuclear facilities, among others. This cluster continues to change account names, and although its ceasefire predictions are not entirely accurate, it has performed well in its previous predictions regarding the Iran attack, suspected to have more reliable information.