阿科|4月 08, 2026 03:30
AI always gives us answers, which leads us astray
AI always gives me an answer, even if I give a meaningless question. Even if you use this question to give Buffett, he cannot give you a perfect answer
But AI can, because it's too good at interpolation
The answer of AI will give you clues, guidance, and questions. You will continue to move forward along this path, consolidate your cognition, and then unknowingly go astray
This is my misconception about using AI to monitor the development of the situation in Iran. AI always reminds me that crude oil prices are high, LNG cannot be repaired in the short term, and the strait is not yet navigable. Gradually, I will come to believe that continuous obstruction will inevitably lead to chronic collapse, until one day the Great Barrier bursts.
In fact, marginal risk has been decreasing, and high oil prices are just one of the variables considered by the capital market. Government policies, Chuanzi's winning game, countries' mediation, and Iran's game options all constitute spaces that AI cannot see
It's not that he can't see it, it's just the problem I gave him that made him unable to see it
Before starting a conversation with AI, be sure to think clearly about your question, what exactly you want to ask, how to describe your question clearly, and which range your expected answer should fall within
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