[Polymarket: Probability of 'Hormuz Strait Traffic Returning to Normal Before April 30' Spikes to 57%, Up 43% in 24 Hours] Odaily Seer monitoring shows that the probability of the event 'Hormuz Strait traffic returning to normal before April 30' on Polymarket has risen to approximately 57%, with a 24-hour increase of about 43%. The current trading volume is around $4.07 million. This market uses IMF PortWatch data as the settlement basis. If the 7-day moving average of transiting vessels reaches or exceeds 60 on any day within the market cycle, the outcome is determined as 'Yes'; otherwise, it is 'No.' The statistical scope includes container ships, bulk carriers, roll-on/roll-off ships, general cargo ships, and oil tankers, counting only data recorded by the IMF PortWatch system. Previous news: Iranian Foreign Minister stated that under Iran's coordination, the strait could be safely navigated within the next two weeks. Odaily Seer will continue to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.