[Prediction Markets Begin Pricing in U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Expectations, Ceasefire by End of June Becomes a High-Probability Event] BlockBeats News, April 6: According to monitoring by PolyBeats, on Polymarket, the market's expectations for a U.S.-Iran ceasefire have been rising continuously since yesterday. The probability of a ceasefire before the end of this month has increased from 18% to 28%, the probability of a ceasefire before the end of May has risen from 34% to 42%, and a ceasefire by the end of June has become a high-probability event, with a likelihood of 53%. The rise in ceasefire expectations is primarily driven by Trump's ultimatum for peace talks with Iran. Currently, Trump's deadline for negotiations is set at "8 PM Eastern Time on Tuesday" (8 AM Beijing Time on Wednesday). Additionally, several related developments have boosted ceasefire expectations. Sources reveal that the U.S., Iran, and a group of regional mediators are discussing the terms of a potential 45-day ceasefire agreement, which could ultimately lead to a permanent end to the conflict. Furthermore, Iran and Oman held talks on Saturday to discuss various plans to ensure the safe navigation of the Strait of Hormuz.