[After Trump's post, the probability of the U.S. invading Iran this year rises to 63% on Polymarket] According to a report by Golden Finance, on April 6, after U.S. President Donald Trump made remarks on social media, the probability of the U.S. invading Iran this year surged to 63% on the Polymarket prediction platform. Although the probability has increased, due to the U.S. deploying more troops in the region and the Trump administration stating it is considering occupying Iran's key oil transportation hub — Kharg Island, the probability of invasion before 2027 remains below the March 29 high of 68%. As of the time of this publication, the trading volume for this prediction contract is approximately $3.74 million.