Non farm payroll data is about to be released, do not act aggressively or blindly, otherwise Jesus cannot save you ❌ 1、 Expected Core Data Tonight, the US non farm payroll and unemployment rate data for March will be released: the market generally expects an increase of 60000 non farm payroll jobs (compared to -92000 in February), with the unemployment rate remaining at 4.4%; Some institutions have a pessimistic attitude, with a minimum expectation of only adding 30000 people. 2、 Background of special market impact Today coincides with Good Friday, and the US stock market is closed all day. The impact of the non farm market will be postponed until next Monday, and it will also have a cumulative effect with the impact of tariff policies and geopolitical risks in the Middle East; The cryptocurrency market has experienced a significant decline this week amid the panic of "equivalent tariffs". 3、 Three Non Farm Scenarios: Prediction of Cryptocurrency Asset Trends The impact of data will be transmitted to the cryptocurrency market through the expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, with three specific directions: 1. The data meets expectations (+50000~+70000) The market sentiment is mild and positive, and the cryptocurrency market is expected to usher in an opportunity for a rebound from the decline 2. The data is significantly weak (<50000/unemployment rate ≥ 4.5%) Short term triggers economic hard landing panic, forming bearish sentiment. In the medium to long term, due to the expectation of interest rate cuts being advanced, the market will first decline and then rebound 3. Data significantly strengthens (>125000) The Fed's interest rate cut will be postponed, which poses a negative impact on risky assets such as cryptocurrency