看不懂的SOL
看不懂的SOL|4月 02, 2026 03:57
After watching Warren Buffett's 70 minute interview yesterday, the amount of information is a bit overwhelming. 1、 350 billion dollars worth of bullets Berkshire has more than $350 billion in cash and short-term treasury bond bonds on its books. They can buy $17 billion of treasury bond in a week. Buffett has almost become the largest buyer in the market. Why not buy stocks? Because it's not that cheap. Buffett believes that the current market decline of 5% to 6% is nothing in the eyes of Buffett, who has experienced a "single day plunge of 21%". He is like a very patient sniper, if there is no highly attractive enterprise, he would rather let 350 billion cash sleep in the account than easily pull the trigger. He doesn't predict the market next week, only looks at the value in 50 years. 2、 Casino The American capitalist system, referred to by Buffett as the 'cathedral of all cathedrals'. But next to this building, there is a huge casino tightly attached. People can shuttle back and forth between the two. In 1952, Buffett saw through this while driving through Las Vegas: well-dressed people flew over at a high price just to pull the joystick of the slot machine. Humans simply enjoy gambling The stock market is no exception. If you buy and hold for 50 years, most people will do well. But people tend to trade within the day to predict the market. Buffett strongly abhors this. He referred to lottery and short-term speculation as "taxing stupidity" and felt cynical about the government profiting from human weaknesses. 3、 Bank When asked whether he is most concerned about inflation or economic recession, Buffett's answer was unexpected. He is more concerned about the fragility of the banking system. He recalled the 2008 financial crisis, when JPMorgan had $10 trillion in business running every day, and once dominoes began to fall, the speed was faster than anyone could imagine. 4、 Irrevocable Magic Box What is Buffett's biggest concern? Not the economy, not the stock market. It's a nuclear weapon. He mentioned the letter written by nuclear physicists Schrader and Einstein to President Roosevelt in 1938. That letter initiated the Manhattan Project. We haven't learned to coexist with it yet More than 80 years have passed, and when a person facing terminal illness, psychological distortion, or immense embarrassment puts their hand on the nuclear button, it is the most dangerous moment for all humanity. Buffett said, 'We have opened Pandora's box, but we can never undo it.'.
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