Today is April 1st, BTC price is 68,600. The market sentiment is generally optimistic today, with all kinds of assets rebounding. The reason is simple: Trump announced a troop withdrawal within three weeks, energy prices dropped, and everything else surged. I wrote about this result a week ago—under current conditions, the U.S. cannot fully go to war with Iran. Today's rally is more like a release after heavy pressure on the market, but it doesn't mean all problems are solved. What happens next with the Strait of Hormuz? Will Trump change his stance again? Nothing is certain. As for the trend, BTC's major moving averages are flattening out, and no clear bullish trend has formed yet. It still needs some time. If BTC spikes today, you could consider a small short position.