貝格先生🐢|Apr 01, 2026 01:48
Update on the "Hot Map of the Five Major Buyer Groups": New buyers still have no active buying intention
Since the last update of this indicator (https://((((x.com)))/market_gegar/status/2028649877014761888),
It has been almost a month now. In yesterday's analysis post (quoted below),
I shared with you my opinion on the lack of market capital interest from the perspective of USDT inflow/outflow.
And today, I plan to support the same conclusion from the perspective of the five major buyer groups.
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Before starting the main text, as usual, let me help you review the concept of indicators:
➡️ First Buyers: First time buyers
➡️ Momentum Buyers: Trend Buyers (buy when prices rise)
➡️ Conviction Buyers: Belief Buyers (buy when prices fall)
➡️ Profit Takers: Profit Takers
➡️ Loss Sellers: Admitting Compensation to Participants
Based on the above differentiation, present the buying and selling behavior of different ethnic groups in a manner similar to RSI:
Green indicates an increase in the population of this ethnic group
Red indicates a decrease in the population of this ethnic group
Detailed principle explanation of indicators: https://((((x.com)))/market_gegar/status/1927539239903764555
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In the last update (https://((((x.com)))/market_gegar/status/2028649877014761888),
I once posed a question: 'Is the emergence of green buyers on the eve of bottoming out or another round of scams?'? ''
In the post at that time, I emphasized that 'we may still be one last tremble away from truly building the bottom',
Now, four weeks later, looking back, the green that appeared at that time was indeed not a true bottoming signal.
Returning to the present, as shown in the attached image:
In the past month, although new buyers have shown signs of greenness( ),
But the degree of greenness is weak, indicating that new buyers have not yet shown a strong willingness to buy,
This coincides with the conclusion drawn from my analysis post yesterday (quoted below)
It should be noted that:
➡️ New buyers are not smart money, but their willingness to buy can provide a bottom line effect on prices
➡️ The emergence of a large number of new buyers may not necessarily be at the bottom, but it is definitely a bonus signal
➡️ In other words, this indicator itself is not a decisive factor, but more like an auxiliary signal
At present, regardless of the underlying reasons,
We have indeed not seen a significant increase in the emergence of 'new buying family groups';
Based on yesterday's analysis of USDT net traffic,
At least we can see that there is currently no significant influx of market funds into BTC, in other words:
At present, we do not support the immediate appearance of cyclical bottoms, but rather lean towards the last tremor.
Stay patient and wait for the wind to come.
The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone
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https://((((((x.com))))))/market_beggar/status/2037345694382727361
PSIP Bottom Signal "Extra Edition": Another Perspective on Evaluating the Bottom
https://((((((x.com))))))/market_beggar/status/2024313705262121308
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