风火山林|3月 31, 2026 04:48
Brothers, the BTC monthly line is about to close, either it will be six consecutive negative lines, or it will end with a positive line today. Leave suspense until the last moment. Flipping through history, there was a six consecutive negative monthly chart in 19 years of extreme pressure, which was the most desperate time of the last bear market. But historical cycles are often very similar, yet they never go the same way. What is the background of the Six Consecutive Yin in 2019? After the bear market fell to 3155 in 2018, it rebounded to 14000 and then began a long washout. At that time, the market sentiment was that the bull market was over, but after six consecutive bearish periods, it slowly bottomed out and took off in 2020.
What about now? The same is a continuous bearish trend at the monthly level, with a halving in the middle. The macro environment is completely different, with interest rate hikes, liquidity tightening, and ETF inflows receding again.
Some people may say that this time is different. Which time has it been the same? But this time it's different. These six words are often the most expensive in the market. After six consecutive years of darkness in 2019, no one was able to accurately capture that bottom. The people who truly make money are those who buy in batches within the bearish candlestick and then hold onto those who don't move. At this position, have you come to the final conclusion? I dare not say. Are you saying it's not over yet? I also feel the same way.
My feeling is that it hasn't reached the level of despair to the point of suffocation yet. At the end of 2019, it was the time when no one dared to say 'buy words'. But one thing can be certain, the six consecutive negatives at the lunar level are an extreme situation in any cycle. After the extreme, there will either be a more extreme collapse or a reversal of the cycle. History does not simply repeat itself, but the greed and fear of human nature always rhyme.
So how to collect this monthly line today, is it important? Important, but not that important either. I really received six consecutive Yin, but it's nothing. Put it away, don't rush to call the cow back. The true bottom is never determined by a candlestick, it quietly emerges when everyone no longer expects it. The above is a bit arbitrary, not necessarily correct. What do you think?
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink