星球日报
星球日报|Mar 28, 2026 13:08
[The probability of 'Israel launching a strike on Yemen before March 31, 2026' rises sharply on Polymarket] Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of 'Israel launching a strike on Yemen before March 31, 2026' on Polymarket has risen sharply. The current probability is 60%, compared to an average probability of 18.1% over the past 7 days. On March 28, 2026, the Houthi forces announced a ballistic missile attack on southern Israel. This marks the first direct military action by the Houthis against Israeli territory since the recent outbreak of conflict between Iran and the U.S.-Israel alliance. The group claimed to have targeted 'sensitive military facilities' in southern Israel. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed detecting a missile launched from the direction of Yemen and stated that it was successfully intercepted, with no reports of casualties at this time. Houthi spokesperson Yahya Saree stated that the attack was in response to U.S. and Israeli military actions against targets in Iran, Lebanon, Iraq, and Palestine, emphasizing that their actions would continue until the 'aggression stops.' Houthi officials have recently issued multiple warnings, stating that blocking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait is one of their 'viable options.' Analysts are concerned that if the Bab el-Mandeb Strait faces a substantial blockade following restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz, it could sever critical oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) routes from the Middle East to Europe and Asia. Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing occurs.
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