Polymarket: Probability of 'U.S. Department of Homeland Security Shutdown Lasting Over 60 Days' Rises to 75%, Up 37% in 24 Hours

Odaily Seer monitoring indicates that the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a temporary Homeland Security funding bill aimed at ending the government shutdown and has sent it to the Senate. On Polymarket, the probability of 'U.S. Department of Homeland Security Shutdown Lasting Over 48 Days' has risen to 92%, up 31% in 24 hours; 'Shutdown Lasting Over 52 Days' has risen to 54%, up 12% in 24 hours; and 'Shutdown Lasting Over 60 Days' has risen to 75%, up 37% in 24 hours. As of now, the contract trading volume for this event has exceeded $1.1 million. Reportedly, the bill provides funding for each agency under the Department of Homeland Security at current levels until May 22, marking the latest attempt to end the partial government shutdown that began on February 14. The bill passed the House with 213 votes in favor and 203 against, with three Democratic representatives voting in favor alongside Republican representatives. However, the bill is expected to fail in the Senate, potentially prolonging the partial government shutdown stalemate. Before passing the House version of the funding agreement, the Senate version of the agreement was rejected. U.S. House Speaker Johnson stated that Republicans would not support any measures to reopen the border or halt immigration enforcement. Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.