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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|Mar 25, 2026 17:18
BREAKING: Iran says it could shut the vital Bab el-Mandeb Strait if attacks are carried out on its territory or islands. Details include: 1. The Bab al-Mandeb Strait is a narrow passage linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and the Arabian Sea 2. ~12% of global seaborne oil passes through Bab al-Mandab 3. The Bab al-Mandeb Strait is the world’s 4th-largest shipping chokepoint 4. If both Hormuz and Mandeb are closed, total offline capacity could near 25 million barrels per day, or ~25% of global supply We now await the US' response to Iran's "five conditions" for a ceasefire.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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Timeline

Apr 16, 14:20The specific date for the new round of negotiations between Iran and the United States has not yet been determined.
Apr 16, 12:47Byte responds to spending nearly 100 million to recruit core employees from DeepSeek
Apr 16, 12:41China assures the United States that it will not provide weapons to Iran during the ceasefire.
Apr 16, 12:09U.S. Secretary of Defense prepares to resume combat operations
Apr 16, 02:46The United States cuts off Iran's access to using stablecoins for payments
Apr 16, 01:26The U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could lead to the breakdown of the ceasefire agreement
Apr 15, 20:17The U.S. Senate votes to reject limiting Trump's war powers on Iran.
Apr 15, 17:44The Strait of Hormuz crisis was caused by U.S. and Israeli aggression against Iran.
Apr 15, 16:54CFTC investigates oil trades prior to Trump's policy shift on Iran
Apr 15, 16:39Iran has suspended all petrochemical product exports

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