[CME Data Shows a 90.7% Probability of the Federal Reserve Keeping Rates Unchanged in April] On March 25, CME 'FedWatch' data indicated a 9.3% probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April, and a 90.7% probability of keeping rates unchanged. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 17.1%, while the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 80.2%.