What happened 15 minutes before Trump’s post: • Polymarket: 10 new accounts placed precise bets on a US-Iran ceasefire, with unrealized gains exceeding $300K • CME: A massive $1.5B buy order suddenly appeared for S&P futures • Oil: $192M worth of short positions were simultaneously dumped 15 minutes later, Trump announced a pause on strikes against Iran—oil prices dropped 13%, and US stocks soared. Who knew the news first?