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𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂
𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂|Mar 23, 2026 19:25
Since the first rate hike in 2022, lending to nondepository firms (private credit mostly) has been 50% of all commercial bank loans, the highest share of of any cycle in history by an order of magnitude. Lending to households remains near the lowest levels of all expansions.(𝐓𝐗𝐌𝐂)
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Apr 22, 03:19USD/JPY trapped in range-bound fluctuations
Apr 20, 22:13The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%.
Apr 20, 16:15The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates again before July 2027 is 49%.
Apr 20, 15:48The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike is nearly 50-50.
Apr 20, 13:15The Bank of Japan confirms it will raise interest rates by 1.00% in May
Apr 19, 22:04The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 99.5%.
Apr 17, 13:30Expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts are heating up
Apr 17, 13:06The probability of a rate hike by the European Central Bank in April has been lowered.
Apr 17, 05:00The European Central Bank will raise interest rates by 0.5 percentage points in 2026.
Apr 15, 22:04The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 98.4%.

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