Even though Hua Ge is super rich, today’s tweet clearly made the rookie mistake of overthinking the logic chain Pic below: Start with Assumption 1, derive Conclusion 2, then use Conclusion 2 to get Conclusion 3, and finally use Conclusion 3 to get Conclusion 4. Even if each step has a 90% chance of being correct, the final accuracy is only around 65%. So, for us retail investors, let’s not overcomplicate things. Keep it simple: It drops, damn, buy the dip ✊